Die Berechnung der Zukunft: Warum die meisten Prognosen falsch sind und manche trotzdem zutreffen - Der New York Times Bestseller (German Edition)

(Dezember 1994), S. 997–1003; http://ist-socrates.berkeley.edu/~maccoun/PP279_Cohen1.pdf
    66Jeff Gill, »The Insignificance of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing«, Political Research Quarterly , 52, 3 (September 1999), S. 647–674; http://www.artsci.wustl.edu/~jgill/papers/hypo.pdf
    67David R. Anderson, Kenneth P. Burnham und William L. Thompson, »Null Hypothesis Testing: Problems, Prevalence, and an Alternative«, Journal of Wildlife Management, 64, 4 (2000), S. 912–923; http://cat.inist.fr/%3FaModele%3DafficheN%26cpsidt%3D792848
    68William M. Briggs, »It Is Time to Stop Teaching Frequentism to Non-Statisticians«, arXiv.org, 13. Januar 2012; http://arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590.pdf
    69David H. Krantz, »The Null Hypothesis Testing Controversy in Psychology«, Journal of the American Statistical Association , 44, Nr. 448 (Dezember 1999). http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/2669949?uid=3739832&uid=2&uid=4&uid=3739256&sid=47698905120317

Kapitel 9
    1»Poe Invents the Modern Detective Story«, National Historic Site Philadelphia, National Park Service, U.S. Department of the Interior; http://www.nps.gov/edal/forteachers/upload/detective.pdf
    2Nick Eaton, »Gallup: Bill Gates Is America’s Fifth-Most Admired Man«, Seattle PostIntelligencer , 27. Dezember 2010; http://blog.seattlepi.com/microsoft/2010/12/27/gallup-bill-gates-is-americas-fifth-most-admired-man/
    3Joann Pan, »Apple Tops Fortune’s ›Most Admired‹ List for Fifth Year in a Row«, Mashable , 2. März 2012; http://mashable.com/2012/03/02/apple-tops-fortunes-most-admired-list-five-years-straight-video/
    4David Kravets, »Stock-Picking Robot ›Marl‹ Is a Fraud, SEC Says«, Threat Level, Wired , 23. April 2012. http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2012/04/stock-picking-robot/
    5»What Is the Stock Trading Robot ›MARL‹?«, Squidoo.com
    6 Philadelphia Inquirer , »Computer Predicts Odds of Life, Death«, Orlando Sentinel , 9. Juli 1992; http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/1992-07-09/news/9207090066_1_apache-system-critical-care-critical-care
    7Nick Montfort, Twisty Little Passages: An Approach to Interactive Fiction (Boston: MIT Press, 2005), S. 76.
    8Claude E. Shannon, »Programming a Computer for Playing Chess«, Philosophical Magazine , Series 7, 41, 314, März 1950; http://archive.computerhistory.org/projects/chess/related_materials/software/2-0%20and%202-1.Programming_a_computer_for_playing_chess.shannon/2-0%20and%202-1.Programming_a_computer_for_playing_chess.shannon.062303002.pdf
    9William G. Chase und Herbert A. Simon, »The Mind’s Eye in Chess«, in Visual Information Processing (New York: Academic Press, 1973)
    10Douglas Harper, Online Etymology Dictionary; http://www.etymonline.com/index.php?term=eureka
    11Amos Tversky und Daniel Kahneman, »Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases«, Science , 185 (27. September 1974), S. 1124–1131; http://www.econ.yale.edu/~nordhaus/homepage/documents/tversky_kahn_science.pdf
    12Lauren Himiak, »Bear Safety Tips«, National & States Parks, About.com; http://usparks.about.com/od/backcountry/a/Bear-Safety.htm
    13billwall, »Who Is the Strongest Chess Player?« Chess.com, 27. Oktober 2008; http://www.chess.com/article/view/who-is-the-strongest-chess-player
    14Feng-hsiung Hsu, Thomas Anantharaman, Murray Campbell und Andreas Nowatzyk, »A Grandmaster Chess Machine«, Scientific American , Oktober 1990; http://www.disi.unige.it/person/DelzannoG/AI2/hsu.html
    15Ibid.
    16»The Chip vs. the Chessmaster«, Nova (Dokumentarfilm), 26. März 1991
    17Garry Kasparov, »The Chess Master and the Computer«, New York Review of Books , 11. Februar 2010; http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2010/feb/11/the-chess-master-and-the-computer/
    18»Frequently Asked Questions: Deep Blue«, IBM Research via Internet Archive WayBack Machine beta; http://web.archive.org/web/200710 28124110/http://www.research.ibm.com/ deepblue/meet/html/d.3.3a.shtml#difficult
    19Chess Opening Explorer; chessgames.com; http://www.chessgames.com/perl/explorer
    20Murray Campbell, A. Joseph Hoane Jr. und Feng-hsiung Hsu, »Deep Blue,« sjeng.org, 1. August 2001; http://sjeng.org/ftp/deepblue.pdf
    21IBM Research, »Frequently Asked Questions: Deep Blue.«
    22»1, Nf3 d5, 2. g3 Bg4«, Chess Opening Explorer, chessgames.com; http://www.chessgames.com/perl/explorer?node=1959282&move=3&moves=Nf3.d5.g3.Bg4&nodes=74.77705.124843.1959282
    23 Zu Spielbeginn einen Läufer gegen einen Springer einzutauschen, wie Deep Blue das zu tun drohte, ist